Roger
White distinguishes three types of phenomena, illustrated by “pebble
patterns.”
The
Chancy Explanation: Pebbles scattered randomly on a sidewalk
require no other explanation than chance.
Unintentional
Biasing: Pebbles arranged in order of diminishing size as they a
near the shoreline.
Intentional
Biasing: Pebbles arranged in the shape of a fish (without legs).
I altered the last one in a way
that I hope will be amusing. According
to White, all but a few of those who write with expertise on the problem of the
origin of life believe this phenomenon must fall into the second category. Some natural forces must bias the Kosmos
toward the emergence of life, just as the tides bias the pebbles toward a
coherent pattern.
The third explanation is ruled
out as unscientific. The first is ruled
out because it is wildly implausible that the conditions upon which the
emergence of self-replicators depends should have come about, in the time
allotted, merely by chance. Unintentional
biasing must therefore be true by default.
White argues that the reason
that the origin of life is not at all like the unintentional biasing of pebbles
by size on the beach.
The numerous steps required for life to exist are quite
unlike this. It is not a matter of the same event-type or property being
instantiated many times without exception. The conditions required for the
emergence of life have little at all in common.
Adding a bit to what White
says, the emergence of life on earth seems to have been a single event (however
long it took), not a repeated pattern.
Why then are most scientists so reluctant to allow too much
chance into their accounts of life’s emergence? I will offer a speculative
diagnosis. The conviction that life couldn’t have arisen by chance is typically
a gut reaction to the data, not a conclusion arrived at on the basis of a
theory about when it is plausible to ascribe something to the work of chance.
What makes this event seem so
implausible to so many is that it seems to suggest unmistakable evidence of
design.
Again adding to White, I would
contrast the origin of life problem with the problem that Darwin
addressed. Why do so many different
organisms exist, all of them more or less well adapted to their respective
ecological niches? That is a pattern
that is persistent historically and geographically. Natural selection then can be seen as the
unintentional biasing mechanism analogous to the motion of water acting on the pebbles.
Interestingly, unintentional
biasing would be a much more likely explanation for the origin of
self-replicators if Aristotle had been right about spontaneous generation. If the emergence of living organisms from
non-living matter under predictable conditions were a persistent feature of
nature, as Aristotle, for understandable reasons, believed that it was, then
unintentional biasing toward the emergence of life would be very likely indeed. Of course, this is not the case.
White makes a strong case that
unintentional biasing in nature is not a well-grounded explanation for the
origin of life. That leaves chance and
intentional (or intelligent) design. I
would suggest, however, that his dismissal of the gut reactions of so many
scientists is premature. To use one of
his analogies, if a tornado picked up a pile of spare parts and assembled it
into a working 747 airliner, no one would interpret this was the work of mere
chance. If even the simplest molecular self-replicators
as well-designed as the airplane (which may be the case) and unintentional biasing is not a plausible interpretation of the
former, then…
I am not making an argument for
intelligent design here. I am not
particularly interested in it only because I don’t know what to do with it when
thinking philosophically and scientifically about the phenomenon of life. I do think that White’s argument could be
turned almost as easily (perhaps just as easily) into an argument for intelligent
design as for the origin of life by chance.
That fact may tell us something about the phenomenon. If so, it would be unscientific to ignore it.